How to make American democracy great again
Republicans have lost control of the House of Representatives — and may never be able to reclaim it.
There used to be a ebb- and flow between Democrats and the Republicans on who would control the House of Representatives, but that may be gone and never return.
America needs to have a battle of ideas to stay healthy. Republicans know that, liberals do not. Liberals think that their ideas are best, and should be forced on everyone — whether they agree or not — becuase it is for their own good.
STEP 1 — Republicans campaign to take back the House of Representatives on the idea that they will vote California out, and that will bring “sanity” aka balance back to Congress. This BHAG — will captivate the Republican base that voted against them in the 2018 Congressional election for the House. “Vote us in this time — and will fix America like you have never seen it fixed before”.
STEP 2 — Republicans have control of the House of Representatives, and retain Control of the Senate, and immediately, on day one of power, pass a 51% vote in both the House and Senate for California to leave.
STEP 3 — Californians react in shock, just like they did when America elected Donald Trump. They are angry that America would actually have a majority of their citizens agree that they don’t like them and would prefer a country without them, and they embrace the idea of a Calexit with more enthusiasm than anyone ever saw.
Why do we know that will happen — Because Californians were shocked that a majority of Americans outside of California would elect a man they saw as racist, sexist, homophibic, anti-immigrant and because of that shock they entertained the idea of secession. Think about this, no one had talked about California secession, and within days of 1 vote, Californians had more backing secession than Texas ever had. That is how emotionally and politically reactive they are. 47.5% of Californians, or just under half, were open to discussion secession in January 2017. Some estimates put that number at 56.3%, were open to discussing Calexit or enough to vote successfully to make it happen then. These numbers are not unrealistic. Right after the Trump election, Californians were’nt just asked how they felt about secession, but also how they felt about nullification — (ignoring federal laws, aka something last seen right before the War between the States), and 65–66% of California said they were for nullficiation bsed on the issue. that is enough of the vote base to secure a vote for secession
STEP 4 — the Calexit movement points out to Californians that the major reason they gave in 2017, as to why they would not pursue secession is now obliterated. that will destroy all opposition to the idea of a Calexit.
Why do we know that will happen — Cali newspapers interviewed professors who said California could only leave through an amendment and would never get the votes. Republicans holding a 51% vote calls both of these assertions into question. — Republicans point to two California Deans of law who said this is possible, and then say only the Supreme Court will have to look at it, and it is conservative for state right
STEP 5 — California citizens file an initiative and it goes directly to the voters and they vote Ca out, or Sacramento re ognized shte will and votes them out. Given that Congress already passed a permit vote — California instantly become independent
How do we know this vote will pass: =becuase they are offended, and latinos and youth come out in higher than survey numbers and pass the vote, because vote survey based on old, white people and undercounted Latino, and also votes for BHAGs bring out the youth and Latino.
STEP 6 — California’s House of Representatives votes are distributed the next largest states (all of whom are swing states), which gives Republicans a fighting chance to take back the House and restores balance to democracy of America.
OR
Republicans do nothing. They stay out of the House for evver, and can only hold to stop legialstyion losing the will drive for a century.
KEY FACTS TO KNOW:
“Republicans continue to control the majority of state legislatures, with 29.” New York Times 2019
“There was no place for reconsideration or revocation, except through revolution or through consent of the States” US. Supreme Court 1869
“In theory, because it was a majority vote of Congress to admit California, in theory a majority vote of Congress could approve secession.”Erwin Chemerinsky, dean of the University of California, Berkeley, School of Law 2017
On this date, the bill admitting California as a free state into the Union passed the House by a vote of 150 to 56. The California bill was finally passed in the house, September 7th by a vote of 150 to 56.
“There is no legal process for a state to secede,” he said. “Texas v. White held that states cannot secede, and that decision’s off-hand comment about the states consenting probably refers to the constitutional amendment procedure. There is no constitutional basis for the idea that the states could simply agree to let California leave.” David A. Carrillo, Executive Director of the California Constitution Center at UC Berkeley’s law school 2018
Conservative Supreme Court backs California over State’s Rights
“‘Hall’ No! Supreme Court Overturns ‘Nevada v. Hall’ and Holds States Are Immune From Suits in Courts of Sister States”Conservative Supreme Court backs other states over State’s Rights
“That partisan gerrymandering cases — where a majority political party has disadvantaged the other in drawing new district lines — are now off-limits going forward. Constitutional scholars will parse all this in the days ahead, but this morning it feels very much like the current Supreme Court has turned back the nation’s clock by about six decades.”Conservative Supreme Court willing to overturn decades of understanding
“The Supreme Court’s conservative majority overturned a 40-year-old precedent Monday, prompting a pointed warning from liberal justices about “which cases the court will overrule next.”
“Marcus learned from Reuters that an additional 15 percent said they “don’t know,” which he heard as “weren’t opposed,” which he accounted for as swayable voters, which gets you to over 45 percent, which is basically 50, which is a yes vote to hold the Stay-or-Leave referendum — and, ding-dong, California’s a country. “ GQ magazine April 2017
STANFORD UNIVERSITY : (January 5–9 2017) SUPPORT–27% + Not sure — 19% = Californians not opposed to discussing Calexit 46%. Stanford used 2010 population numbers instead of 2017, when Latinos had passed a major growth level in 2015. Meaning Latinos were under-counted in this survey.
IPSOS REUTERS : (January 25 2017) SUPPORT–32%+ Don’t know — 15.5% = Californians not opposed to a discussion on secession 47.5%. “If Hispanics had been properly represented in the poll, only 43.6% of Californians polled would have opposed CALEXIT, and fully 33.3% would have been in favor. 23% would not have given an opinion.” Red State Secession September 2018
“Sixty-five percent of California adults say the state and local governments should pursue their own policies to protect the rights of undocumented immigrants, while 63 percent of adults support state action to address global warming, according to the poll.” POLITICO magazine Feb 2017
“Voters in California tend to be older, white, college educated, affluent, and homeowners. They also tend to identify themselves as “haves” — rather than “have nots” — when asked to choose between these two economic categories. Nonvoters tend to be younger, Latino, renters, less affluent, and less likely to be college educated than likely voters — and they generally identify themselves as have nots. The overall result is that the views of all California adults tend to be more positive than those of the voters who determine our elections. Nonvoters offer the most positive assessments and provide the fewest negative ratings of the way that the California Legislature is handling its job.” (page 12) PPIC 2016
“Schwarzenegger, who attempted to rally support among Californians who have not participated in the political process, appeared to gain the most from first-time voters. Nearly half of them supported him, and nearly 3 out of 5 voted for the recall.” “Election officials reported long queues and a shortage of parking spaces near polling stations as California’s voters turned out in large numbers.”
APPENDIX
From: Marcus Ruiz Evans <marcus.ruiz.evans@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, Mar 2, 2017 at 11:32 AM
Subject: Re: About Reuters/Ipsos poll: 32% of CA — could I see “don’t know” %
To: Erin Morris <Erin.Morris@ipsos.com>
Cc: chris.jackson@ipsos.com, chris.kahn@thomsonreuters.com
Thank you for the quick response
It’s fascinating to know that the well-publicized poll in the news that 32% of Californians support Independence ALSO shows that 47.5% are at least not directly opposed to Independence..they “don’t know” if they are against it.
On Mar 2, 2017 6:46 AM, “Erin Morris” <Erin.Morris@ipsos.com> wrote:
Marcus, Chris Jackson forwarded me your question about the ‘don’t know’ percent from our California data. I’ve copied that below. Let me know if you need anything else!
Don’t know — 15.5%
Best,
Erin
Erin Morris
Ipsos Public Affairs
2020 K St., NW Suite 410, Washington DC 20006
Direct: 202.420.2026 | Mobile: 202.394.0923
erin.morris@ipsos.com | http://www.ipsos-pa.com |
Ipsos Public Affairs — The Social Research and Corporate Reputation Specialists
Poll: California rallies around Jerry Brown, eager to battle Trump
By David Siders 02/10/17
CALIFORNIANS MORE LIBERAL
THAN AVERAGE VOTE — who is POLLED.
PPIC 2006
“In general, the people who go to the polls in California are very different from those who don’t — and they have different political attitudes and preferences. As California’s population has burgeoned, its voting rolls have not kept pace. As its population has become more diverse, its voters have become less representative of that population. And the difference between voters and nonvoters is especially stark in attitudes toward government’s role; elected officials; and many social issues, policies, and programs.”
https://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/atissue/AI_906MBAI.pdf
PPIC 2016
“The people who go to the polls in California are very different from those who don’t; they vary widely across key demographic indicators such as race, age, education, homeownership, and income. They also have very different political attitudes and policy preferences. As California’s population continues to expand and change, its voting rolls are not keeping pace and its voters have become unrepresentative of its population. Voters in California tend to be older, white, college educated, affluent, and homeowners. They also tend to identify themselves as “haves” — rather than “have nots” — when asked to choose between these two economic categories. Nonvoters tend to be younger, Latino, renters, less affluent, and less likely to be college educated than likely voters — and they generally identify themselves as have nots.
The overall result is that the views of all California adults tend to be more positive than those of the voters who determine our elections. Nonvoters offer the most positive assessments and provide the fewest negative ratings of the way that the California Legislature is handling its job (page 12)
Why has the California exclusive electorate phenomenon that we identified 10 years ago been so resistant to change? (page 14)”
Latinos 37.6% of population 2010.
Latinos become largest demographic in CA for first time in 2015
Latinos 39.1% of population in 2017 https://www.statista.com/statistics/306026/california-population-ethnicity-race/
